{"id":220497,"date":"2026-04-30T04:47:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T04:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/atlas-intel-survey-ivan-cepeda-would-lose-in-the-second-round-to-abelardo-de-la-espriella-paloma-valencia-and-even-sergio-fajardo\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T04:47:03","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T04:47:03","slug":"atlas-intel-survey-ivan-cepeda-would-lose-in-the-second-round-to-abelardo-de-la-espriella-paloma-valencia-and-even-sergio-fajardo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/atlas-intel-survey-ivan-cepeda-would-lose-in-the-second-round-to-abelardo-de-la-espriella-paloma-valencia-and-even-sergio-fajardo\/","title":{"rendered":"Atlas-Intel Survey: Iv\u00e1n Cepeda Would Lose in the Second Round to Abelardo De la Espriella, Paloma Valencia, and Even Sergio Fajardo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2>The Atlas-Intel Survey: Iv\u00e1n Cepeda&#8217;s Vulnerability in the Electoral Race<\/h2>\n<p>The recently released <strong>Atlas-Intel survey<\/strong> has sparked significant discussion in Colombian political circles. Conducted for the magazine <em>Semana<\/em>, the survey reveals an intriguing and potentially concerning trend for <strong>Iv\u00e1n Cepeda<\/strong>, the ruling party&#8217;s candidate. Despite leading in polling intentions, Cepeda is projected to lose to contenders like <strong>Abelardo de la Espriella<\/strong>, <strong>Paloma Valencia<\/strong>, and even <strong>Sergio Fajardo<\/strong> in a potential second round of the presidential election.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Findings from the Survey<\/h3>\n<p>According to the survey data collected between <strong>April 25 and 29<\/strong>, Iv\u00e1n Cepeda stands at <strong>37.4%<\/strong> in first-round voting intentions. While this is a solid lead, analysts highlight that it may not suffice to secure victory on <em>May 31<\/em>. In contrast, <strong>Abelardo de la Espriella<\/strong> trails with <strong>29.4%<\/strong>, and <strong>Paloma Valencia<\/strong> follows at <strong>21.2%<\/strong>. Notably, a significant percentage of voters\u2014<strong>2%<\/strong>\u2014indicated a preference for blank votes, which is more than some candidates&#8217; polling results.<\/p>\n<h3>Second-Round Scenarios<\/h3>\n<p>The crux of the Atlas-Intel findings suggests that Cepeda does not garner enough support to defeat his rivals in a potential runoff:<\/p>\n<h4>Cepeda vs. Espriella<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Iv\u00e1n Cepeda<\/strong>: 42%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Abelardo de la Espriella<\/strong>: <strong>47.8%<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Blank\/Null\/Don&#8217;t know<\/strong>: 10.2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Cepeda vs. Valencia<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Iv\u00e1n Cepeda<\/strong>: 40.6%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Paloma Valencia<\/strong>: <strong>49.1%<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Blank\/Null\/Don&#8217;t know<\/strong>: 10.4%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Cepeda vs. Fajardo<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Iv\u00e1n Cepeda<\/strong>: 37.9%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sergio Fajardo<\/strong>: <strong>39.8%<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Blank\/Null\/Don&#8217;t know<\/strong>: 22.2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These results indicate a clear trend: <strong>Cepeda\u2019s support diminishes significantly against all key opponents<\/strong> in a second round, which could serve as a wake-up call for his campaign team as they strategize toward May.<\/p>\n<h3>Voter Rejection Rates<\/h3>\n<p>Interestingly, the survey highlights that <strong>50.3%<\/strong> of respondents would reject Iv\u00e1n Cepeda as a presidential option. Furthermore, <strong>41.2%<\/strong> expressed the same sentiment towards Abelardo de la Espriella. This underlying dissatisfaction could shape the dynamics as Colombia approaches the election.<\/p>\n<h3>Implications for the Future<\/h3>\n<p>The findings from the Atlas-Intel survey indicate not just the current state of voter sentiment, but also point to the growing polarization in Colombian politics. As the political atmosphere continues to shift, candidates and their teams must navigate the precarious landscape of public opinion.<\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p>In summary, while Iv\u00e1n Cepeda leads in initial polling, the uncertainties surrounding voter preferences signal a complicated path ahead. With strong challengers like Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia poised to consolidate support, the upcoming elections promise to be fiercely competitive, both in the first round and potentially in a subsequent runoff. As voters prepare to make their choices, the campaign strategies will be critical in shaping the outcome of this electoral battle.<\/p>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/category\/general\/\" rel=\"dofollow\">General News &#8211; 2<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Atlas-Intel Survey: Iv\u00e1n Cepeda&#8217;s Vulnerability in the Electoral Race The recently released Atlas-Intel survey has sparked significant discussion in Colombian political circles. Conducted for the magazine Semana, the survey reveals an intriguing and potentially concerning trend for Iv\u00e1n Cepeda, the ruling party&#8217;s candidate. Despite leading in polling intentions, Cepeda is projected to lose to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":220498,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[50222,51048,37157,2522,49955,257,50218,32128,6187,292,439,508,51808,40669,5339,51809,28650,271,784,20237,51807],"class_list":["post-220497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mazagine","tag-abelardo","tag-atlasintel","tag-cepeda","tag-debate","tag-espriella","tag-expression","tag-fajardo","tag-illustration","tag-ivan","tag-leaders","tag-lose","tag-media","tag-oratory","tag-paloma","tag-policy","tag-public-figures","tag-sergio","tag-speech","tag-survey","tag-valencia","tag-watercolor"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220497","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=220497"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220497\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":220499,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220497\/revisions\/220499"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/220498"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=220497"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=220497"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=220497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}