{"id":215183,"date":"2026-04-05T23:56:31","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T23:56:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/a-prestigious-study-center-analyzes-official-measurements-and-claims-indec-exaggerates-poverty-decline\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T23:56:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T23:56:32","slug":"a-prestigious-study-center-analyzes-official-measurements-and-claims-indec-exaggerates-poverty-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/a-prestigious-study-center-analyzes-official-measurements-and-claims-indec-exaggerates-poverty-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"A Prestigious Study Center Analyzes Official Measurements and Claims Indec Exaggerates Poverty Decline"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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According to Indec, poverty was 28.2% in the second half of 2025<\/figcaption><\/div>\n

Poverty Measurement Controversy in Argentina<\/h2>\n

A recent Cedlas<\/b> report from the University of La Plata has raised significant questions regarding the accuracy of poverty statistics released by Indec. The report suggests that the official figures exaggerate the decline in poverty from 2023 to 2025, although it acknowledges a genuine reduction\u2014just not to the claimed extent.<\/p>\n

Fluctuation of Poverty Rates<\/h2>\n

Statistics reveal a dramatic shift in the poverty rate: it surged from 41.7% in the second half of 2023 to 52.9% in the first half of 2024, decreased to 38.1% later that year, and dropped to 31.6% in early 2025, according to Indec. Such abrupt variations usually indicate significant changes in economic conditions, such as modifications in GDP or public spending, which the Cedlas report argues did not occur to justify these fluctuations.<\/p>\n

Methodological Concerns<\/h2>\n

The report identifies three critical mechanisms that may distort the accuracy of the poverty measurement:<\/p>\n

Time Lag in Income Reporting<\/h3>\n

Firstly, a time lag exists between the income reported in the Permanent Household Survey (EPH) and the valuation of poverty baskets. In inflationary contexts, this discrepancy can lead to an overestimation of poverty numbers, particularly noticeable between late 2023 and early 2024.<\/p>\n

Income Underreporting<\/h3>\n

Secondly, the study points to the underreporting of income in the EPH compared to administrative records. An uptick in survey participation may contribute to the observed poverty declines, obscuring the real economic situation of households.<\/p>\n

Changes in Consumption Patterns<\/h3>\n

Thirdly, the report argues for the need to update the consumption patterns used to calculate the poverty line. Current poverty baskets still use weights based on older consumption data (ENGHo 2004\/05), whereas more recent patterns (ENGHo 2017\/18) would reveal a higher poverty rate due to increased service considerations.<\/p>\n

Correcting Misconceptions<\/h2>\n

Cedlas suggests that if these corrections are implemented, the actual decline in poverty between the second half of 2023 and the first half of 2025 would be significantly smaller, at around 2 percentage points rather than the 10 percentage points claimed by Indec. This reality would place poverty at approximately 41.5% instead of 31.6% as recorded.<\/p>\n

Future Implications<\/h2>\n

Experts like Augustine Salvia<\/b>, director of the Argentine Social Debt Observatory (ODSA), emphasize the paradox wherein poverty metrics diverge from consumption capacity. The measurement of poverty is increasingly criticized for losing its validity. Furthermore, ongoing inflation and labor market challenges may hinder further progress, complicating the outlook for the impoverished populace.<\/p>\n

As inflation remains around 3% monthly and wages stagnate, the decline in poverty may not just pause but potentially reverse unless significant interventions occur to stabilize purchasing power for vulnerable households. Alongside these factors are deteriorating labor conditions, further complicating the economic landscape for the most impacted demographics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n


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General News – 2<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

According to Indec, poverty was 28.2% in the second half of 2025 Poverty Measurement Controversy in Argentina A recent Cedlas report from the University of La Plata has raised significant questions regarding the accuracy of poverty statistics released by Indec. The report suggests that the official figures exaggerate the decline in poverty from 2023 to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":215184,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[10582,927,1196,2612,50903,48376,13868,6563,10739,3662,60],"class_list":["post-215183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mazagine","tag-analyzes","tag-center","tag-claims","tag-decline","tag-exaggerates","tag-indec","tag-measurements","tag-official","tag-poverty","tag-prestigious","tag-study"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=215183"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":215185,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215183\/revisions\/215185"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/215184"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=215183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=215183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=215183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}