{"id":17377,"date":"2022-10-14T09:43:23","date_gmt":"2022-10-14T09:43:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/too-early-to-say-that-the-russians-have-lost-the-war-news-urix-foreign-news-and-documentaries\/"},"modified":"2022-10-14T09:43:24","modified_gmt":"2022-10-14T09:43:24","slug":"too-early-to-say-that-the-russians-have-lost-the-war-news-urix-foreign-news-and-documentaries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/too-early-to-say-that-the-russians-have-lost-the-war-news-urix-foreign-news-and-documentaries\/","title":{"rendered":"– Too early to say that the Russians have lost the war – news Urix – Foreign news and documentaries"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

– Unless there is a clear change of direction in Moscow, there is little indication that this war has been won by any party for a very long time, says former head of the army in Norway, General Odin Johannessen. Professor at Staff School, Tormod Heier, sees the situation in the same way. – It is far too early to declare a Russian defeat, Heier believes. VICTORY: Ukrainian soldiers near the city of Izyum. The Russians withdrew from the city in September. A major defeat for the Russian army, but it is not yet defeated. Photo: Francisco Seco \/ AP Losses in all dimensions The Russians have mostly only lost in the months that have passed since the invasion in February. Even the slow progress in Donbas since April is seen by many as a loss. – Even with an overwhelming advantage in artillery, they only managed to argue their way to a very bloody victory. It cost several thousand Russian lives to capture the city of Sievjerodonetsk, writes military expert Mick Ryan on Twitter. LONG-TERM: Odin Johannessen believes the Russian defense can keep it going for a long time. Photo: Cicilie Sigrid Andersen \/ news Ryan points out that the Russians attacked Ukraine with too few soldiers. He believes Putin thought he was dragging the country into a different war than the one that came. The Russian forces failed to knock out the Ukrainian air force. They failed to coordinate the various front sections. They failed to supply the troops with ammunition, food, fuel and equipment. Ryan believes the attacker has been constantly on the back foot. In addition, strategic communication has failed. In other words, the ability to influence the public and leaders in other countries. Current status Now the war is extra hot near the cities of Svatove and Kherson. CAN FIGHT FOR LONG: At the two cities of Svatove and Kherson, the Ukrainians are advancing slowly. Svatove is where the Russians have set up their defenses after they lost the cities of Kupjansk and Izyum in September. Kherson is isolated because the Ukrainians have destroyed the bridges over the Dnipro River. The pocket the Russians control in Kherson is getting smaller every week. The Ukrainians face stiff resistance. Some of the best detachments left in the Russian army were sent there during the summer. THE WAR FOR THE BRIDGES: Four important bridges have been destroyed in Kherson county. It isolates the large Russian army force. After the rapid offensive in Kharkiv at the beginning of September, the Ukrainians have slowed down in the east. The Russians are digging defensive positions and laying mines. In these positions, there must be soldiers who have just been mobilized. In a video, a group of Russians claim that they were civilians less than two weeks ago. LOST TERRAIN: The Russians are now trying to prevent the Ukrainians from liberating more of Luhansk and Donetsk counties. The red line is where the Russians are supposed to have set up their defense lines. Not beaten – Since September, the Ukrainian offensives in the south and east have given the Russians one defeat after another, says General Odin Johannessen. He believes that the Russian army has received deep wounds, but that it has not been defeated. – They have suffered significant losses which will have operational consequences for a long time to come, says Johannessen. Photo: INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR AND AEI’S CRITICAL THREATS PROJECT \/ news (Updated 13.10.2022) Photo: INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR AND AEI’S CRITICAL THREATS PROJECT \/ news (Updated 13.10.2022) Tormod Heier believes the Russians will try to keep positions through the winter. Over the next few months, several hundred thousand fresh Russian soldiers will arrive in Ukraine. How good these soldiers are is an open question. PERHAPS THE LAST TIME: A mother says goodbye to a son who has been mobilized. Some of the new Russian soldiers have relatively recently been in uniform. Photo: ALEXEY MALGAVKO \/ Reuters They must all have completed at least one year in the defense before. The quality of the training they received was astounding. Nevertheless, it is clear that being on the defensive is easier for untrained soldiers than being on the attack. Hard winter – The winter can be a real test for both parties, but the Ukrainians have an advantage in that they are defending their own country, says Johannessen. During the three winter months, it is cold in the northern and eastern parts of Ukraine. In Luhansk county, where many of the matches will take place, it is below zero around the clock. – If you want to master the winter, you must be well trained, have good equipment, have solid logistics systems in place, be well led and, not least, be motivated for the task, Johannessen points out. He adds that the Russian army in Ukraine does not seem to be able to do any of this. LOTS OF PEOPLE AND AMMUNITION: Russia is able to use large resources in Ukraine for a long time to come, the experts believe. Photo: AP – In a year’s time or more, the Russians can manage to penetrate the four counties, Heier believes. The four are those who were illegally incorporated into Russia. This despite the fact that parts of the areas are under Ukrainian control. Heier believes the Russians will use large quantities of rockets, grenades and soldiers. – Senseless war General Johannessen says that the Russian defense has deep problems. That the problems lead to poor morale and that civil society has no confidence in the armed forces. ON LIFE AND DEATH: Professor Tormod Heier believes the Russians are under so much pressure that they will be able to tackle the problems. Photo: H\u00e5vard Madsbakken – There are several reasons for this. Culture, corruption, abuse of power, security that you are given the necessary training and good enough equipment, says Johannessen. Heier believes the Russians will try to do something about this. Throughout history, it has been shown that extreme crises, such as the one the Russians are in now, lead to necessary changes. – I think they can be able to become a learning organisation. The Ukrainians did this after 2014, and we see the result now, explains Heier. DIFFERENT: Soldiers of the Soviet Army. The picture was taken on 19 February 1943. At that time, the army had carried out major changes after the losses of the last two years. They eventually pushed the invading army all the way back to Berlin. Photo: AP The last time the Russians made a major change was after the catastrophic losses against the Germans in 1941. The experts nevertheless point out a difference they believe is significant. It was the Germans who attacked. It was German armored vehicles that advanced towards the Soviet cities – The soldiers in the Russian defense are now participating in a senseless war that the country itself has started, Johannessen points out. – How much is the Russian population willing to sacrifice in a war that is not forced upon them, asks Heier. – In addition, they received considerable help from the Americans in the years after the Germans attacked. They received weapons, ammunition and equipment. Now it is the Ukrainians who get help from the USA, says Johannessen.
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– Unless there is a clear change of direction in Moscow, there is little indication that this war has been won by any party for a very long time, says former head of the army in Norway, General Odin Johannessen. Professor at Staff School, Tormod Heier, sees the situation in the same way. – It […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17378,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[204,2172,203,50,16,272,202,326],"class_list":["post-17377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-documentaries","tag-early","tag-foreign","tag-lost","tag-news","tag-russians","tag-urix","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17377"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17377\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}