September 10 is a date marked in the calendars of hurricane-expert meteorologists. It is the date on which the Atlantic \u00a0hurricane season\u00a0 usually achieves its peak of activity. However, the decreasing trend in the average activity of \u00a0Atlantic cyclones\u00a0 should not deceive us: there is still a significant season ahead.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
We Enter the Final Stretch<\/strong>. According to experts at the National Hurricane Center<\/a> (NHC), 60% of hurricane activity occurs after this peak. This means that despite having passed the midpoint of the season\u2014running from June 1 to November 30\u2014we still have more than half of the \u00a0cyclonic activity\u00a0 to anticipate.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n NHC meteorologists also remind us that the activity during this part of the season tends to have a profound impact on the \u00a0western zone\u00a0 of the North Atlantic, which is especially vulnerable as hurricanes often make landfall in North America and the \u00a0Caribbean\u00a0.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n A Quiet Season<\/strong>. When the Atlantic hurricane season began in June, experts predicted a relatively quiet season, but the data shows an even \u00a0greater meekness\u00a0 than expected. To evaluate the intensity of a hurricane season, various metrics can be used, such as the number of named storms, the number of hurricanes, the total number of days with active hurricanes, and the \u00a0Accumulated Cyclonic Energy\u00a0 (ACE).<\/p>\n According to data from the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University (CSU)<\/a>, the expected ACE at this time of year would typically be 55.8, yet the observed ACE is only 39. This signifies a \u00a030.1% decrease\u00a0 compared to initial expectations.<\/p>\n Erin, the Disruptive Force<\/strong>. Additionally, much of this energy can be attributed to a single hurricane, \u00a0Erin\u00a0. Erin’s ACE is reported at 32.2<\/a>, representing approximately \u00a082.6%\u00a0 of the overall activity for the season.<\/p>\n What\u2019s Happening<\/strong>. The expectation that this season would be less intense than previous years aligns with observed data: while the Atlantic temperatures have not surged to the \u00a0extreme levels\u00a0 seen in recent years, the \u00a0El Ni\u00f1o oscillation\u00a0 remains in a state of indecision, impacting hurricane formation.<\/p>\n <img alt=\"Google has demonstrated with its AI that the prediction of storms and hurricanes is outdated. This is how your new model works\" width=\"375\" height=\"142\" src=\"https:\/\/i.blogs.es\/ccf2f5\/brian-mcgowan-kkyxiwvljbg-unsplash\/375_142.jpeg\"\/><\/code><\/pre>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n