{"id":161798,"date":"2025-08-10T03:14:22","date_gmt":"2025-08-10T03:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/we-already-know-who-will-drink-all-the-coffee-that-brazil-wont-export-to-the-us-due-to-tariffs-china\/"},"modified":"2025-08-10T03:14:24","modified_gmt":"2025-08-10T03:14:24","slug":"we-already-know-who-will-drink-all-the-coffee-that-brazil-wont-export-to-the-us-due-to-tariffs-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/we-already-know-who-will-drink-all-the-coffee-that-brazil-wont-export-to-the-us-due-to-tariffs-china\/","title":{"rendered":"We already know who will drink all the coffee that Brazil won&#8217;t export to the US due to tariffs: China."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2>The Rise of Coffee Consumption in China: A New Era for Brazilian Producers<\/h2>\n<p>If we do not count water, coffee would be the most \u00a0consumed drink\u00a0 in the world. Renowned for its myriad benefits, coffee is cherished for its \u00a0caffeine\u00a0, as well as its psychological effects. Recently, \u00a0China\u00a0 has emerged as a significant player in the global coffee market, which has implications for producers, particularly those in \u00a0Brazil\u00a0.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 1 --><\/p>\n<p><strong>Current Coffee Market Trends<\/strong>. Recently, the coffee segment has experienced a &#8220;perfect storm,&#8221; which has caused a notable increase in prices for both Arabic and robust varieties. Key factors contributing to this surge include storms and droughts that have impacted harvests, transportation challenges, and an escalating demand that could not be satisfied. Additionally, the political stage has seen influential figures, such as \u00a0Donald Trump\u00a0, implementing tariffs that have compounded the situation.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 2 --><\/p>\n<p>The specter of tariffs on main coffee producers became a tangible concern when, as reported by <a rel=\"noopener, noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/china\/china-welcomes-183-brazil-coffee-sellers-wake-us-tariffs-2025-08-03\/\" target=\"_blank\">Reuters<\/a>, a \u00a050% tariff\u00a0 on certain Brazilian products was enacted on August 6. Currently, Brazil exports approximately eight million sacks of coffee annually to the United States, meeting one-third of America\u2019s annual demand, valued at around \u00a0$4.4 billion\u00a0. The increase in tariffs could significantly affect prices, leading to uncertainty in consumer behavior.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 3 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-asset article-asset-normal article-asset-center\">\n<div class=\"desvio-container\">\n<div class=\"desvio\">\n<div class=\"desvio-figure js-desvio-figure\">\n<pre><code> &lt;img alt=\"To the &amp;quot;chocoopocalypse&amp;quot; He only lacked one more enemy to shoot the price of cocoa: illegal gold mining\" width=\"375\" height=\"142\" src=\"https:\/\/i.blogs.es\/574cc3\/cacao\/375_142.jpeg\"\/&gt;<\/code><\/pre>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>China: A Closer Economic Ally<\/strong>. While Brazil primarily exports coffee to the U.S., it also has significant economic ties with China. The latter is now its main commercial partner, importing vast quantities of \u00a0soybeans\u00a0 (70% of Brazilian exports), iron minerals, oil, meat, cellulose, sugar, wood, and cotton. Notably, in June of this year, while Brazil exported \u00a0440,034\u00a0 coffee bags to the U.S., it shipped just \u00a056,000 bags\u00a0 to China. However, this dynamic is changing; as confirmed by Reuters, China has recently approved \u00a0183 Brazilian coffee companies\u00a0 for export, poised to reshape the market landscape.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 4 --><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Coffee Craze in China<\/strong>. Coffee consumption in China has skyrocketed, doubling since 2019. Current estimates suggest that approximately \u00a05.8 million\u00a0 bags were consumed in 2023, with projections reaching \u00a06.3 million\u00a0 by 2025. Although China&#8217;s per capita consumption lags behind other nations, approximately \u00a0400 million\u00a0 individuals within the country drink coffee regularly, and this number is on an upward trajectory.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 5 --><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Coffee Shop Boom<\/strong>. A significant portion of new coffee drinkers are young adults aged 25-44. Living predominantly in urban areas, this demographic exhibits high levels of education and income. The surge in coffee&#8217;s popularity correlates strongly with the opening of thousands of new coffee shops across the country. Recent data indicates that coffee shops in China have grown over \u00a050%\u00a0 in the past two years, with \u00a0Shanghai\u00a0 emerging as the world capital of coffee shops, boasting around \u00a09,500\u00a0 locations. The coffee market&#8217;s value is projected to grow from \u00a0$38 billion\u00a0 in 2023 to \u00a0$43 billion\u00a0 in 2024.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 6 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-asset-image article-asset-normal article-asset-center\">\n<div class=\"asset-content\">\n<div class=\"caption-img \">\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Sz Shenzhen Futian Zhongkang Road Injoy Mall Food Shop Luck Coffee August 2023 Px3 02\" class=\"centro_sinmarco\" src=\"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/We-already-know-who-will-drink-all-the-coffee-that.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<pre><code>    &lt;span&gt;It could be a Starbucks bar, but it's from Luckin Coffee&lt;\/span&gt;<\/code><\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>Changing Taste Buds<\/strong>. Consumer preferences are shifting in China, partly due to factors like urbanization, a rising middle class, and Western influence. Brands like \u00a0Starbucks\u00a0 and local competitors like \u00a0Luckin Coffee\u00a0 are making coffee fashionable among younger generations. Although instant coffee remains prevalent, the rise of \u00a0specialty coffee\u00a0 \u2014 including freshly ground beverages \u2014 now constitutes more than \u00a040%\u00a0 of the Chinese coffee market as of 2023.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 7 --><\/p>\n<p>In summary, the escalating demand for coffee in China presents not only a \u00a0consumption shift\u00a0 for its population but also an economic lifeline for Brazilian producers navigating a volatile international landscape. As price fluctuations affect U.S. consumers, it remains to be seen whether they will embrace higher costs for their favorite brew or if the soaring prices will dampen their enthusiasm for coffee.<\/p>\n<p><!-- BREAK 8 --><\/p>\n<p>Images | <a rel=\"noopener, noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:Luckin_Latte_with_Moutai-20231113.jpg\" target=\"_blank\">Shwangtianyuan<\/a>, <a rel=\"noopener, noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:Maejantai_Chiang_Rai_province_09.JPG\" data-id=\"noopener, noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Takeoway<\/a>, <a rel=\"noopener, noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:SZ_%E6%B7%B1%E5%9C%B3%E5%B8%82_Shenzhen_%E7%A6%8F%E7%94%B0_Futian_%E4%B8%AD%E5%BA%B7%E8%B7%AF_Zhongkang_Road_%E5%8D%93%E6%82%85%E5%8C%AF%E8%B3%BC%E7%89%A9%E5%95%86%E5%A0%B4_INJOY_Mall_food_shop_Luckin_Coffee_August_2023_Px3_02.jpg\" target=\"_blank\">Poon Shuishou Simmonz<\/a><\/p>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/category\/general\/\" rel=\"dofollow\">General News &#8211; 2<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Rise of Coffee Consumption in China: A New Era for Brazilian Producers If we do not count water, coffee would be the most \u00a0consumed drink\u00a0 in the world. Renowned for its myriad benefits, coffee is cherished for its \u00a0caffeine\u00a0, as well as its psychological effects. Recently, \u00a0China\u00a0 has emerged as a significant player in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":161799,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36399],"tags":[2042,2397,3997,1846,587,3467,20591,8353],"class_list":["post-161798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technology","tag-brazil","tag-china","tag-coffee","tag-drink","tag-due","tag-export","tag-tariffs","tag-wont"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161798"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161798\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/161799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}