{"id":161112,"date":"2025-08-07T05:16:56","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T05:16:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/federico-aurelio-highlighted-a-close-race-for-the-buenos-aires-election-suggesting-that-the-government-may-have-an-advantage-in-october\/"},"modified":"2025-08-07T05:16:58","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T05:16:58","slug":"federico-aurelio-highlighted-a-close-race-for-the-buenos-aires-election-suggesting-that-the-government-may-have-an-advantage-in-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/federico-aurelio-highlighted-a-close-race-for-the-buenos-aires-election-suggesting-that-the-government-may-have-an-advantage-in-october\/","title":{"rendered":"Federico Aurelio highlighted a close race for the Buenos Aires election, suggesting that the government may have an advantage in October."},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n<\/picture>
The electoral forecasts of the Government and the opposition <\/figcaption><\/div>\n

As the \u00a0political landscape\u00a0 in Argentina heats up, consultant Federico Aurelio has suggested a “Palo A Palo” contest between La Libertad Avanza (Freedom Advances) and \u00a0Patria (Homeland)\u00a0 in the upcoming \u00a0Buenos Aires elections\u00a0 on September 7. In stark contrast, the national elections, set for October 26, appear to favor the current government.<\/p>\n

“Currently, in the province of Buenos Aires, there exists parity between La Libertad Avanza and the Patria. At a general level, they are closely matched,” noted Aurelio. He further elaborated that while \u00a0Peronism\u00a0 exhibits a significant lead in certain sections, the overall electoral landscape remains balanced, particularly within the first section, where both factions are almost equal.<\/p>\n

\n\"Javier\n<\/picture>
Javier Milei faces two electoral shifts of high political impact (photo AP) <\/figcaption><\/div>\n

In an interview with Infobae<\/b>, Aurelio emphasized a crucial point about \u00a0voter turnout\u00a0: “In general, those who align with Milei show a higher propensity to vote, which may benefit him and pose challenges for the opposition.” However, he noted that in the province of Buenos Aires, voter sentiment appears evenly distributed, which means turnout may not significantly sway the outcome.<\/p>\n

The director of \u00a0Aresco\u00a0, Aurelio is the son of prominent political consultant Julio Aurelio. He highlighted that the September election will be less polarized compared to the national election in October, as local candidates and territorial leaders heavily influence voter preferences across electoral sections.<\/p>\n

\n\"Cristina\n<\/picture>
Cristina Kirchner, Axel Kicillof and Sergio Massa<\/figcaption><\/div>\n

The presence of other political parties, such as \u00a0We Are\u00a0 in Jun\u00edn and Chivilcoy, could further complicate the electoral map. These new contenders may siphon votes away from La Libertad Avanza, especially in local contexts where they possess greater influence.<\/p>\n

Reflecting on the impact of the upcoming elections, Aurelio opined that the Buenos Aires elections will have implications for the national elections but won’t extend to 2025. He cautioned against assuming that if Milei wins in Buenos Aires, it will dictate the political future of his administration.<\/p>\n

Despite the potential for a significant win for Javier Milei’s ballot, the \u00a0national landscape\u00a0 suggests that the \u00a0government’s standing\u00a0 may remain fragile. “Even winning with a margin of ten points does not guarantee re-election,” Aurelio warned, recalling similar situations under the previous government of Mauricio Macri.<\/p>\n

Aurelio’s data reveals a notable portion of Milei’s supporters are driven by \u00a0convenience\u00a0 rather than conviction, highlighting a widespread sense of dissatisfaction among voters who have experienced disillusionment with various administrations.<\/p>\n

“People are skeptical; while many believe in Milei’s ability to manage economic challenges like inflation, they\u2019re still yearning for tangible improvements in their daily lives,” Aurelio stated.<\/p>\n

\n\"\"\n<\/picture>\n<\/div>\n

Emerging from recent political dynamics is the \u00a0United Provinces Front\u00a0, comprising various governors like Mart\u00edn Llaryora (C\u00f3rdoba), Maximiliano Pullaro (Santa Fe), and Ignacio “Nacho” Torres (Chubut). This diverse coalition aims to carve out a unique electoral identity distinct from traditional left-right political rivalries.<\/p>\n

Aurelio suggests that this new alignment could counterbalance the advantages of La Libertad Avanza, particularly in \u00a0regional contexts\u00a0, but he maintains that the government is still poised to achieve an electoral win. In contrast to Buenos Aires, he notes that \u00a0regional candidates\u00a0 may dilute support for Milei without bolstering Peronism.<\/p>\n

\n\"Javier\n<\/picture>
Javier Milei and political allies including Patricia Bullrich<\/figcaption><\/div>\n

Facing these pivotal elections, Aurelio perceives that the government possesses a strong footing. “Contrary to predictions of a drastic decline in public approval, the \u00a0situation is more stable\u00a0 than anticipated,” he remarked. This sentiment aligns with public perceptions of both the current administration and its economic performance.<\/p>\n

Despite the considerable challenges ahead, many citizens remain cautiously optimistic about Javier Milei’s leadership, primarily due to expectations for improved economic conditions. However, Aurelio warns that this optimism hinges on how the government manages its economic policies and public expectations beyond the elections.<\/p>\n


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General News – 2<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The electoral forecasts of the Government and the opposition As the \u00a0political landscape\u00a0 in Argentina heats up, consultant Federico Aurelio has suggested a “Palo A Palo” contest between La Libertad Avanza (Freedom Advances) and \u00a0Patria (Homeland)\u00a0 in the upcoming \u00a0Buenos Aires elections\u00a0 on September 7. In stark contrast, the national elections, set for October 26, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":161113,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[7234,22394,37308,22393,1665,2714,38842,291,17979,7869,1315,25654],"class_list":["post-161112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mazagine","tag-advantage","tag-aires","tag-aurelio","tag-buenos","tag-close","tag-election","tag-federico","tag-government","tag-highlighted","tag-october","tag-race","tag-suggesting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161112"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161112\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/161113"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}