{"id":128859,"date":"2025-05-05T18:19:28","date_gmt":"2025-05-05T18:19:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/thoughts-on-the-mstr-bitcoin-profits\/"},"modified":"2025-05-05T18:19:28","modified_gmt":"2025-05-05T18:19:28","slug":"thoughts-on-the-mstr-bitcoin-profits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/thoughts-on-the-mstr-bitcoin-profits\/","title":{"rendered":"Thoughts on the MSTR Bitcoin \u2018Profits\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>What recent trends in corporate treasury management are being influenced by MicroStrategy&#8217;s model?<\/strong> <strong>How does MSTR&#8217;s performance compare to that of bitcoin and what might this indicate about investor sentiment?<\/strong> <strong>What potential risks might arise for the bitcoin market if MSTR were to fail?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>MSTR earnings came out May 1. My morning media stops last Thursday (here and here) asked for a preview. We don&#8217;t talk about stocks, so I planned to zoom out and hit themes. While preparing, I had to suppress the <em>eye-roll reflexes<\/em> that MSTR triggers.<\/p>\n<p>MSTR, of course, is the ticker symbol for MicroStrategy, or Strategy, as the company is now known. Strategy, fronted by Michael Saylor, pioneered the \u201cbitcoin treasury\u201d model that\u2019s now been copied by Metaplanet and dozens of other companies. Strategy plans to raise $84 billion, according to its most recent announcement, across equity and fixed income instruments. <\/p>\n<p>Here are three questions:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Earnings?<\/strong><br \/>\nMSTR &quot;earnings&quot; and &quot;price targets&quot; are&#8230; Well, they don&#8217;t really mean the same thing, especially once the effect of <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__www.fasb.org_page_ShowPdf-3Fpath-3DASU-25202023-2D08.pdf-26title-3DACCOUNTING-2520STANDARDS-2520UPDATE-25202023-2D08-25E2-2580-2594Intangibles-25E2-2580-2594Goodwill-2520and-2520Other-25E2-2580-2594Crypto-2520Assets-2520-28Subtopic-2520350-2D60-29-3A&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=nsRntzR-zNvvq_hKqN8tlnq-DauZ_MJIBeLXmGA6Z0c&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ASC 2023-08<\/a> is backed out. It&#8217;s just the price of bitcoin and financing, plain and simple. Wall Street analysts and pundits should get that right.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Strategy?<\/strong><br \/>\nYou can&#8217;t just say, &quot;<em>Strategy<\/em>.&quot; You have to say, &quot;<em>Strategy; you know, it used to be Microstrategy<\/em>.&quot; Like Prince, Puff Daddy, Kanye West and Twitter. NB: folks say &quot;strategy&quot; (small &quot;s&quot;) a lot already.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Don&#8217;t be a hater?<\/strong><br \/>\nMSTR supports a market cap of $107b with bitcoin holdings of $53b and laser-eyed goodwill. No lifeboat, no parachute, no apparent Plan B. If it fails, the bitcoin market could take the blame.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Those eye-rollers (and some <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__bitcoinmagazine.com_bitcoin-2Dfor-2Dcorporations_8-2Dlessons-2Din-2Dbitcoin-2Dtreasury-2Dstrategy-2Dfrom-2Dthe-2Dstrategy-2Dmstr-2Dq1-2Dcall&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=V3aZ_o-AlwE1WeQT9ABw05MIByiBPX4sLlzVDVtWZUU&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">obsequious media coverage<\/a> notwithstanding, we can agree that:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__www.strategy.com_debt&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=jeks1gzlNCgHRR2ezkByj9eYNDD3hiU5Md0ChuDVidU&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">capital raises<\/a> are truly awesome. The force is strong in this one.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>MSTR is up 36% on the year, compared to less than 5% for bitcoin. Who am I to throw stones?<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>MSTR cleverly uses stock price volatility as a feature, not a bug, for 1) issuing mouth-watering converts, 2) attracting listed options volume, and 3) corporate &quot;yield&quot; strategies. (Just please stop calling option-selling a &quot;yield strategy.&quot; And I said &quot;strategy&quot; again. Small &quot;s&quot;.)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>The preferreds (<a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__www.strategy.com_strk&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=768PjA-WQr1SHhzTbmec06tKkEAIsOWLql9iBXLXdUU&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">STRK<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__www.strategy.com_strf&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=EY8TZgzF72Kp4XFyp5nPmAU4dr0QQW3TCAoANxsaSlc&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">STRF<\/a> hit the mark with some folks who like preferreds. Some of my preferreds friends are smitten.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>MSTR created a movement<\/h3>\n<p>Strategy (big &quot;S&quot;) has not only created a movement, but a category. Levered MSTR ETFs (including <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__www.globenewswire.com_news-2Drelease_2025_05_02_3073048_0_en_Defiance-2DETFs-2DUnveils-2DMST-2DThe-2DFirst-2DLeveraged-2DMicroStrategy-2DETF-2Dthat-2DSeeks-2Dto-2DPay-2DIncome-2DWeekly.html&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=I4zAbt9xqakuieESnXiJPKCFULwJKCtACMCgCYhPzgQ&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">this new one<\/a> which pays &quot;income&quot;) serve the market for whom MSTR&#8217;s 70 vol is dull. Grayscale announced an <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__etfs.grayscale.com_bcor&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=sSVGO1PAPMGyxGLZsRfH-A&amp;r=H7WdSfgnDVA4g_bXUyJ5zeZ1TEo0XuXMDOZmWO5vF-c&amp;m=TRPZef4vrwJCsVCYeEb1-z3qcLRrWM9PzXWMMmdNQ_wt2GdqTal9-VhlWVbqQev3&amp;s=cP07B3NLl6mzITUglQSCVQgycGuZGVa1S-2q-3YM35c&amp;e=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ETF<\/a> that tracks 30 companies that hold at least 100 bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Last, but not least, Cantor Equity Partners, a SPAC, is merging to form Twenty One Capital, which will hold $3 billion of bitcoin. Mention this trend in a room full of pundits and they&#8217;ll yell &quot;Gamestop!&quot; in unison. It&#8217;s fun.<\/p>\n<p>This is all fine. Adding bitcoin to the treasury of non-crypto companies* is an interesting trend. (And that doesn\u2019t include crypto-native companies, like CoinDesk&#8217;s parent company, Bullish.)<\/p>\n<p>But it&#8217;s only bitcoin at the moment.<\/p>\n<h3>US (bitcoin) exceptionalism<\/h3>\n<p>Despite the loosening of U.S. regulatory zip-ties on digital assets and the recent flurry of ETF filings, bitcoin still dominates the conversation (it still accounts for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTC.D\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">about two-thirds<\/a> of the total cryptocurrency market).<\/p>\n<p>Again, that&#8217;s fine if we are talking about a store-of-value asset contributing to a corporate treasury otherwise allocated to cash and treasuries. However, the growing number of flavors of bitcoin exposure\u2014leverage, yield, optionality, protection\u2014are taking the place of education about what other blockchain assets hope to deliver, and why it is important to spend more time thinking about the asset class.<\/p>\n<p>Until recently, that was fruitless for many investors and advisors, since brokerage- or futures-account implementation was not available. (Of course, it has been for ETH, but you need more than ETH to think about the &quot;digital asset class.&quot; Lack of enthusiasm for ETH investment vehicles, we believe, has struggled in part for this reason.)<\/p>\n<p>If 2024 was bitcoin&#8217;s &quot;coming out&quot; year, we hope that 2025 gives investors and traders opportunities to think deeper and more broadly, and to implement accordingly. If not, the U.S. crypto investing narrative will start to sound like a &quot;bitcoin maxi,&quot; and that feels like leaving money on the table.<\/p>\n<h3>Reflections on Those MSTR Bitcoin \u2018Earnings\u2019<\/h3>\n<p>In the modern era of digital finance, few stories have captivated investors and analysts more than that of MicroStrategy, Inc. (MSTR) and its foray into Bitcoin. Founded in 1989, MicroStrategy is a business intelligence firm that has transformed itself into one of the biggest corporate holders of Bitcoin, tapping into the cryptocurrency\u2019s volatility and potential as a store of value. As of late, however, MicroStrategy\u2019s earnings reports have raised eyebrows across Wall Street, with \u201cBitcoin earnings\u201d garnering significant attention. This article reflects on the implications of these earnings and what they signify for both MicroStrategy and the broader market.<\/p>\n<h4>Understanding MicroStrategy\u2019s Bitcoin Strategy<\/h4>\n<p>Under the leadership of CEO Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy announced its first Bitcoin purchase in August 2020. Initially, the move was seen as a speculative gamble on cryptocurrency. However, Saylor framed the venture strategically: Bitcoin, he argued, was a hedge against inflation and a way to preserve shareholder value in a world increasingly awash with monetary intervention. <\/p>\n<p>This bold strategy involved purchasing Bitcoin with cash reserves and converting equity into the cryptocurrency, effectively shifting the company&#8217;s focus from traditional software services to digital asset management. The crux of MicroStrategy\u2019s current financial narrative revolves around these Bitcoin holdings. As the company continues to buy and hold Bitcoin, it has reported \u201cearnings\u201d that reflect the changing value of these assets on its balance sheet.<\/p>\n<h4>Deciphering &#8216;Earnings&#8217; in the Bitcoin Context<\/h4>\n<p>MicroStrategy&#8217;s earnings reports have sparked debate over what constitutes \u201cearnings\u201d in a world increasingly intertwined with cryptocurrencies. Traditional earnings are derived from revenue minus expenses, but for MicroStrategy, much of its reported gains stem from unrealized profits on its Bitcoin investments. As Bitcoin prices fluctuate wildly, MicroStrategy\u2019s financial reports showcase substantial gains one quarter, only to see them vanish the next due to Bitcoin\u2019s volatility.<\/p>\n<p>To a traditional investor, this situation raises legitimate questions. Are these earnings real? Should they be treated like cash flow from operations or viewed as speculative gains? This ambiguity means that understanding MicroStrategy&#8217;s financial health requires a fundamentally different lens compared to conventional financial analysis.<\/p>\n<h4>The Market Perception<\/h4>\n<p>Market sentiment around MicroStrategy&#8217;s Bitcoin earnings has been mixed. Some investors laud the company&#8217;s strategic foresight, viewing Bitcoin as a revolutionary asset class that could, indeed, redefine corporate treasury management. Others express skepticism, warning that such volatility represents a perilous gamble that can turn into significant losses. <\/p>\n<p>MicroStrategy\u2019s substantial gains during Bitcoin\u2019s bull runs juxtaposed against sharp drops during corrections provide a cautionary tale. Analysts are wary of endorsing a model that ties corporate stability to the whims of a volatile digital currency. This divergence in opinions reflects broader societal paradoxes related to cryptocurrency: while some herald it as the future of finance, others remain cautious, pointing out the speculative and unregulated nature of such assets.<\/p>\n<h4>Regulatory and Operational Concerns<\/h4>\n<p>As MicroStrategy continues integrating Bitcoin into its balance sheet, regulatory scrutiny is increasing. Governments worldwide are grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies, and this uncertainty casts a shadow over companies like MicroStrategy. Are these assets treated as cash equivalents? How will tax implications unfold if Bitcoin\u2019s value swings dramatically? <\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the operational risks associated with Bitcoin holdings are unique. Cybersecurity concerns, the cost of securing private keys, and potential regulatory backlash all pose risks to MicroStrategy\u2019s investment thesis. Should there be a significant breach or unfavorable regulatory decision, the ramifications could ripple through the company\u2019s balance sheet, tainting the perception of its earnings.<\/p>\n<h4>Future Outlook<\/h4>\n<p>Looking to the future, MicroStrategy\u2019s Bitcoin strategy may well set the tone for other corporations evaluating similar paths. The potential for a burgeoning competitors&#8217; landscape hinges on the regulatory clarity surrounding cryptocurrencies. If regulatory frameworks that promote stability emerge, it could lead to more companies adopting similar strategies.<\/p>\n<p>However, as MicroStrategy has demonstrated, the stakes are high. The company operates under a higher level of scrutiny and expectation, often moving in tandem with Bitcoin\u2019s price fluctuations. Thus, any long-term strategy must weigh the potential for outstanding returns against the risks of significant financial volatility.<\/p>\n<h4>Conclusion<\/h4>\n<p>Reflecting on MicroStrategy&#8217;s Bitcoin \u201cearnings\u201d unveils a complex tapestry of opportunity, risk, and innovation. As one of the first corporations to embrace Bitcoin as a key part of its treasury strategy, MicroStrategy serves as both a harbinger of potential and a cautionary tale. For investors, understanding the implications of these earnings requires navigating a rapidly changing landscape where traditional financial metrics meet cutting-edge digital assets. Ultimately, how successfully MicroStrategy capitalizes on its Bitcoin investments may influence the broader corporate adoption of cryptocurrency, setting precedents for the future of corporate finance.<\/p>\n<p>Sure! Here\u2019s a reflection on the MSTR Bitcoin earnings:<\/p>\n<p>MicroStrategy (MSTR) has taken a unique approach by investing heavily in Bitcoin, positioning itself as more than just a business intelligence firm. The interpretation of its earnings often intertwines with the volatile nature of cryptocurrency. When analyzing MSTR&#8217;s performance through the lens of Bitcoin holdings, fluctuations in Bitcoin prices can significantly impact reported earnings.<\/p>\n<p>Investors should consider both the direct contributions of its software business and the implications of Bitcoin&#8217;s market dynamics. MSTR\u2019s strategy indicates a long-term belief in Bitcoin as a digital asset. However, this approach also introduces risks related to market volatility and regulatory changes.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, MSTR&#8217;s results serve as a barometer for the intersection of traditional finance and cryptocurrency, highlighting the evolving landscape of investment strategies in an era where digital assets are becoming increasingly prominent.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\">Tm-En-7<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What recent trends in corporate treasury management are being influenced by MicroStrategy&#8217;s model? How does MSTR&#8217;s performance compare to that of bitcoin and what might this indicate about investor sentiment? What potential risks might arise for the bitcoin market if MSTR were to fail? MSTR earnings came out May 1. My morning media stops last [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":108984,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23832],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128859","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=128859"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128859\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=128859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=128859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/teknomers.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=128859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}