– At home in Rome it is around 40 degrees. For you it is probably nice, but for us it is lovely to be able to experience weather like this in July. That’s what Alessandro and Antonella Cinti say, who are visiting Norway for the first time. They are very positive about what they call “good weather”, specifically rain and eleven degrees on this July day. And it may look like it will continue to be largely gray for the rest of the summer, according to the experts. Changed forecasts – It is safe to say that a normal summer is on the way. Normally like in Norway, where the weather tends to change. That’s how it looks to be this year as well. The uncertainty is always high for long-term forecasts, but especially when the weather is as unstable as it is now, says climate researcher Erik Kolstad. Photo: Andreas R. Graven This is what climate researcher at Norce and the Bjerknes Center, Erik Kolstad, tells news. news wrote in May that seasonal warnings indicated a warm June. It was based on a forecast from the research center Climate Futures in Bergen. In June, Climate Futures reported a warm July. Now the forecasts have changed to a more normal summer in Norway, and meteorologist Marek Ratajczak does not have any particular faith in warm summer weather either. – There is no stable warm summer weather in sight, but fortunately it does not look completely hopeless either. It will probably look a bit like the weather we had in June, with a few days of sunshine, he says. – Hope on a dangling line Like the tourists, it may seem that the locals in Ålesund generally take the gray weather in good spirits. – What are we going to do in the South, it’s probably warm enough here? say Willy and Dagfinn Ullaland. Photo: Tone Hafsås / news The Sankt Bernhard dog Ozzy also believes that you can dress according to the weather. Photo: Tone Hafsås / news – We are used to this weather here, so we enjoy it too, say the brothers Dagfinn and Willy Ullaland. They dress according to the weather, but still hope for some sunshine in between. Swipe to see what people in Ålesund think about the weather: Tone Hafsås / news – I think the weather is perfectly fine, says Oddlaug Drabløs from Ålesund. She has nothing against cozying up with a book inside if it’s raining outside. – We have to have some rain, then we won’t have to water so many flowers. Tone Hafsås / news – I was actually going to paint the cabin, but I can’t do it now, says a delighted André Fjørtoft. Ozzy the dog is also wearing his raincoat. He has just eaten a fish cake from the Stuen kiosk, and seems happy with both it and the hiking weather. – Now I have to sit inside and drink coffee instead, smiles Fjørtoft. Tone Hafsås / news – I didn’t move here because of the weather, says Gunnar Opsahl, who is originally from Lier. He has not planned to go abroad this year, but is happy with that. , and we are going for a trip there. Here I get to spend the nice days getting the house in order. Booking holidays at the last minute There are still many Norwegians who choose to go south to stock up on vitamin D before winter, something the travel companies clearly see. – When the holiday is just around the corner and the weather forecast is bad here in Norway, there are many people who want to get away, says Ving Norway manager, Marie-Anne Zachrisson. She says that the company has noticed this well in recent weeks, and that they have seen smacked planes on almost all flights. Last week, the company had 17 per cent more bookings than the same week last year. – This is good proof that demand follows the weather. Many people order at the last minute, and some also a little late, when there is nothing to choose from. Three bright spots: Fewer forest fires As here in Norway, the weather elsewhere in Western Europe so far this summer has been more normal than the last two years. This shows, among other things, that there have been fewer forest fires this year than in recent years, although we are also seeing large fires this year. According to the EU’s body for monitoring forest fires (Effis), 772 km² had fallen victim to forest fires by the end of June. Last year, the number was 50 per cent greater (1,200 km²) and in the fire year 2022, over four times as large areas (3,240 km²) were consumed by the flames at the same time. Favorable for the summer Olympics It is the weekly overviews from GWIS (a collaboration between, among others, Copernicus and Nasa) that show normal temperatures ahead. The overview for both Norway and most of Western Europe shows that this week will be cold. After that, the temperature for the next five weeks will be at or slightly above normal. For the weeks the summer Olympics are held in Paris, the forecast shows that the temperature is expected to be at the normal level. It is good news for athletes who have feared having to compete during a heat wave in the French capital. Not as extreme in Europe In recent years, parts of Europe have experienced extreme heat waves. But this year, some of these areas have also had an unusually cold June. In Madrid, night temperatures have been as low as 12 degrees, while in Seville it has been between 15-20 degrees during the day. Although it has warmed up, Spain is still colder than normal. – The whole of Western Europe looks cold this week here. Then it becomes more normal over time. It is more abnormal with the relatively low temperatures we have now, says Erik Kolstad. But he says that in Europe the models show that it will be warm in the eastern Mediterranean area. Greece and Turkey have already experienced severe heat waves. GWIS’ weather forecast for week 31 – the first week of the Summer Olympics – shows that temperatures in the Paris area are expected to stay around normal or slightly below. Photo: GWIS – Hope for warmer periods For those on holiday in Norway, hope for good weather is still not lost, and it seems that the temperature will rise to more normal levels from next week onwards. The tourists in Ålesund have dressed up for a guided tour in the city centre. Photo: Tone Hafsås / news – Hopes are not lost that there will be warmer periods beyond July. Although it has started quite badly, says climate researcher Kolstad. Meteorologist Marek Ratajczak does not want to take all the sorrows in advance either. – Long-term forecasts are probability calculations. So it is possible that the least likely thing will also happen. Your browser does not support the embedding of external content Published 04.07.2024, at 08.49
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Weather in July: Climate scientist expects “Norwegian summer”
