On Tuesday evening, several missiles were fired into Israel from Iran. Both countries’ authorities confirm the attack. This is what the experts say about how the conflict may develop in the future. – Can get an escalating spiral – For Israel, I think this is to be considered a pure declaration of war from Iran. They are completely dependent on having a credible deterrent against Iran and the actors that Iran supports, says Sigbjørn Halsne to news. He is a lieutenant colonel at the Norwegian Armed Forces College and head of land forces at the Norwegian Military Academy. Halsne reserves the right that the reports presented in the media on Tuesday evening are correct. – If the extent of the damage is large, then the demand, both popularly and politically in Israel, will be to fight back harder. Then we can get an escalating spiral, where the two parties, in the worst case scenario, use their full military powers against each other, says Halsne. Lieutenant Colonel at the Norwegian Defense Academy Sigbjørn Halsne. Photo: Ismael Burak Akkan / news What is happening to the USA? It is difficult to say where the road goes next after Tuesday’s attack, says Middle East expert Hilde Henriksen Waage. – I think that what we are most wondering tonight is what the US will do now. The US is actually a bit tricked into the back way in this war by Israel. Waage points out that the US has been talking about a ceasefire and peace negotiations for the past year. – Then we see that when Israel unleashes Hezbollah, and Hezbollah unleashes Israel, the USA says that it is now coming to Israel’s aid. It is very dangerous when the great power USA has been dragged into the war, says Waage. Hilde Henriksen Waage is professor of international history. Photo: Eskil Wie Furunes / news Will not appear weak Middle East expert Dag Henrik Tuastad did not think that it was in Iran’s interest to attack Israel. At the same time, it may be important for Iran not to appear weak, both externally and among its supporters. That may be one of the reasons why they attacked Israel on Tuesday, according to Tuastad. He says there are several things that now indicate that Israel first attacked Hamas, before they then went after Hezbollah, in order to get closer to Iran that way. – And that the end product is to take Iran and their nuclear weapons development program, which is the biggest threat, says Tuastad. Middle East expert Dag Henrik Tuastad. Photo: Alf Simensen / news Expecting a moderate response Tormod Heier is professor of military strategy and operations at the Norwegian Defense College. He says Tuesday’s attack indicates that Iran does not want to be drawn into the war. Heier describes Tuesday’s attack from Iran as weak and unprovoked, and believes Israel will respond in kind. – Since the Iranian response was fairly moderate, I think Israel will probably come up with a response. But it will be moderate, in line with the Iranian attack. This means that Iran’s nuclear weapons facilities will most likely not be destroyed, says Heier to news. Tormod Heier is professor of military strategy and operations at the Norwegian Defense Academy. Photo: Ole Berg-Rusten / NTB IDF: Will respond – These are only parts of our capability, writes Iran’s president on X on Tuesday evening. The president warns against ending up in a confrontation with Iran. – Iran does not want war, but will face all threats, he also writes. The attack will have consequences, warns the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF). They claim they are on full alert. – We will respond when we want, where we want and how we want, says IDF spokesperson Daniel Hasgari in a statement. The US State Department has also announced that it will work with Israel on its response to the attack. Published 01.10.2024, at 22.23
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This may happen after Iran’s attack on Israel – news Urix – Foreign news and documentaries
