– Hello! What some amazing numbers! Mayor Kari Nessa Nordtun (Ap) is about to lose her balance as she stands outside the town hall in central Stavanger. news has just given her a sheet where her party has a pillar that is higher than Høyre’s. The Labor Party receives a support of 32.2 per cent in the survey carried out by Norstat for news. The right gets 30.4 percent. In May, the same figures were 25.5 and 34.8 per cent respectively. Opinion poll for Stavanger September 2023 The opinion poll in September compared to the previous poll in May. 1.84.5%SV−0.84.3%R−1.24.3%V+0.84.3%KRF+1.61.5%KON+0.50.9%SP−3, 11.1%Others+0.3Click on the party circle to see the full party name. Based on 604 interviews conducted in the period 30.8.23–5.9.23. Margins of error from 0.7–4.5 pp. Source: Norstat – This is a measurement I would call spectacular, says news commentator Tone Sofie Aglen. The reason is the following: Stavanger has “always” been a Right-wing city. The fact that Nessa Nordtun and the left side took power four years ago was like a state of emergency, according to the news commentator. – Some have even said that the Conservative Party’s mayoral candidate can just as easily go on holiday or play golf as run an election campaign, says Aglen. But it has become an election campaign. Kari Nessa Nordtun’s smile is even wider than on the many election campaign posters around the city. – This is incredibly uplifting, inspiring and motivating. I will be very happy, but it is Monday that counts, that people actually go and vote! she says. Kari Nessa Nordtun is awarded the results from the latest survey for news. Photo: Øystein Otterdal / news “Eg lige Kari” Nationally, there has been crisis poll after crisis poll for Ap, but in the oil city it has gone exactly the opposite way. And several experts point to one reason in particular: Kari Nessa Nordtun. In four years, the 37-year-old has made large parts of the city call her “Kari”. – I prefer Kari, absolutely, says Camilla Svendsen Dommersnes. She has just voted in advance in the barracks at Torget in Stavanger. – They have completed many of the cases they set out to do four years ago. And Kari is a brilliant person to lead Stavanger into the future. She has lots of visions and great knowledge about what she does, says Svendsen Dommersnes. Camilla Svendsen The judges’ “right” Kari Photo: Øystein Otterdal / news Outside Ap’s election campaign stall stands a large cardboard figure of Kari Nessa Nordtun. The posters read “I like Kari” and “If you want Kari as mayor, vote for the Labor Party!”. Commentator Tone Sofie Aglen believes the party has succeeded in the election campaign in Stavanger. – They have run a very personal election campaign, because they have gambled on her popularity. In addition, I think this free bus stunt has put Stavanger on the map. It has been an issue that many people have caught on to and like, she says. Before the summer, Kari Nessa Nordtun caused a stir when she and the cooperative parties said they would introduce free buses for all residents of the city. In July, the scheme was implemented. – It is inspiring for people to see that politics works, that it matters to your everyday life who runs the city, says Nessa Nordtun. Kari versus Sissel Sissel Knutsen Hegdal is the mayoral candidate for Stavanger Conservative Party. She, too, is surprised by the new measurement. – It surprises, but it motivates. I see that we are well above 30 per cent, so we are well on our way. The fact that they ended up below Ap in this survey does not seem to dampen the Conservative candidate’s belief in a good election for the party. Sissel Knutsen Hegdal in the Conservative Party says she is motivated by the new survey. Photo: Øystein Otterdal / news – I would not say that this measurement is a downturn. When the Conservative Party has such good numbers, that is what I focus on, and that we should make a good choice. But it is the final sprint that decides it. – It seems that the election in Stavanger is a bit like a presidential election in the USA – Kari versus Sissel? – I think the media has a contributing factor to that. But I see that people are excited about who will be mayor, and I understand that. The most important thing is to focus on the policy, the message and what we want to do locally. Sissel Knutsen Hegdal with Høyre bag. On it: a picture of herself. Photo: Øystein Otterdal / news Dependent on INP But in order to be allowed to govern the city for another four years, Labor and the left side may become dependent on the Industrial and Business Party (INP). The party gets 4.6 per cent and three mandates in the survey from Norstat. – Many will probably think that the INP is a party that will point to the right, even if they keep their cards close to their chest. But Kari Nessa Nordtun has previously proven to be a good negotiator, says Aglen and continues: – She has been skilled at holding together many parties that don’t really like each other very well, and it is said that she has had good talks with INP in Stavanger, says Aglen. Mandate distribution Stavanger municipal council Positions in the municipal council in this survey compared to the result after the election in 2019. Labor partyAP22+4HøyreH21+5FremskrittspartietFRP5−1Kristelig FolkepartiKRF30RødtR3−1Socialist Liberal PartySV30VenstreV30Miljøpartiet De GrønneMDG3−1Industrial and business partyINP3+3ConservativeKON1+1SenterpartietSP00−3AndreANDRE00− 6,604 interviews conducted in the period 30.8.23– 5.9.23. Margins of error from 0.7–4.5 pp. Source: Norstat Norstat about the survey On 30 August it became known that the company InFact had delivered incorrect opinion polls in connection with the election. Mads Motrøen is senior project manager at Norstat and writes to news: – The quality of our opinion polls is crucial, and we have regular routines for checking all data so that we avoid errors due to incorrect selection or incorrect data processing. Motrøen writes that the figures from Stavanger have undergone the same quality assurance routines as elsewhere. The previous measurement was carried out in May, so it will be natural that the field has moved, he clarifies. – We also see in the figures that Ap has brought in significantly more voters “from the fence” than in the previous poll. It also appears that they have gotten back a few more of their own 2019 voters.
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The Labor Party bigger than the Conservative Party in a spectacular poll in Stavanger – news Rogaland – Local news, TV and radio
