With the help of Norstat, news has carried out a survey after the election about what people think about the election of Trump. Norwegians think the election is negative for both the USA and us in Norway. But the biggest concern is how the election will affect the global situation. 75 percent believe that the election of Trump will affect the world negatively. Swipe right to see talk. How do you think the election of Trump will affect the world? Positive: 9% No change: 6% Negative: 75%How do you think the election of Trump will affect Norway? Positive: 6% No change: 18% Negative: 61%How do you think the election of Trump will affect the USA? Positive: 15% No change: 7% Negative: 68% On all the questions there is also a good proportion who answers “I don’t know”. What would Norwegians vote for? The fact that Donald Trump was elected president with a good margin at the beginning of November does not make Norwegians flock to him. This is how Norwegians would vote if they could vote now: Norwegian men are therefore slightly more positive about the incoming president than women are. KAMALA! Justine Eskild (27) has no doubts. Photo: Katarina Trymsdatter Vatnvåg If only Norwegian women were to vote in the presidential election, Trump would have had to settle for 5% turnout. – Kamala Harris! One hundred percent, says Justine Eskild (27), one of several young adults whom news meets in Førde. – Voting for a candidate who is a convicted felon doesn’t quite rhyme in my head. I feel that explains itself a bit. Harris speaks more for me. The gender gap among young people Recently, there has been a lot of discussion about value differences between young women and young men, and debate about why Donald Trump is popular with many young Norwegian men. At the canteen table at Malakoff vgs. in Moss, news meets a group of students who think a lot about the two who were presidential candidates. The trend is quite typical. A couple of the boys are Trump fans. – I would vote for Donald Trump, says one. – I would have voted Harris, it would have been like voting Høgre or Frp in this country, says another. But none of the girls would vote for Trump. – Guys don’t think about the consequences because they are not women themselves, says someone who thinks about Trump’s abortion policy. Here you can swipe through some of the young expectations for Trump news heard in Moss and Førde: Amaniel Adhamono (21) Trump says things directly. If he is interpreted incorrectly, it can cause unrest in the world. But at the same time, he may mean something completely different. It is difficult to say how it will turn out. Margaret Synes Vågsholm (20) For me, it is important that women should be able to decide over their own bodies. I think that the election can have a negative impact on women’s rights and the view of women. There will be more focus on the classic housewives. Working life in the USA is strongly dominated by men, I think it will be a more male-dominated board. Mikael Kjelling (18) I think it will be great. In 2016, he got all the big personal estates under control. It was so cool. If he gets it done now, it will be so good. Just calm down Putin and Kim Jong-un. Aaliyah Ali (19) He only does stupid things, we are not in safe hands. The USA is one of the most powerful countries in the world. I feel they control quite a lot. Then it has a lot to say for other countries that are also influenced by the USA. Justine Eskild (27) I think the world is becoming less predictable. He has shown that he does a little as he wants. I think everyone will be a little more on their toes.Sander Fløgstad (18) It’s a little scary what could happen now. There is a lot of uncertainty around him and how everything will turn out. It would have been safer if Kamala Harris had been president. Ahead of the election, it emerged that as many as 47 percent of young Norwegian men would vote for Trump. The speech created debate because it pointed to young men’s dissatisfaction, but news’s use of the survey was also criticized because it had more extreme findings than other surveys, and in addition, few young men in the sample gave large margins of error. Faktisk.no explained in a thorough review that the numbers were uncertain, but that there is little doubt that young men point to Trump to a greater extent than others do. Surveys about young Norwegian men and Trump The survey institute has received various figures in autumn 2024 about young Norwegian men’s attitudes towards Donald Trump. Ipsos 24/10: 47 percent of young men would vote for Trump. Questions were asked about the speech. It seemed higher than similar surveys and the margins of error were large. Norstat conducts regular surveys for news. A Trump question was added to the survey which came out shortly after the Ipsos figure was mentioned. Norstat 28/11: 17 percent of young men then answered Trump. With the same margin of error. Since there was such a large gap between this figure and the corresponding figure from Ipsos, news’s analysis department chose to carry out more surveys. The speech was therefore not published. news repeated the question in yet another Norstat survey and was able to double the number of young people in the sample in a survey that ran the weekend before the election and ended on Tuesday: Norstat election week: 26 percent Trump support among young men. news’s analysis department considered this speech to be more credible and news decided to carry out an even more thorough investigation after the election in which we ask Norwegians several questions about Trump. The survey was out from Friday 15 to Tuesday 19/11 and included 430 young people between the ages of 18 and 29. 189 of them are men: 25 percent of young men answer that they would vote for Trump if they could vote in the United States. The margin of error in the latest survey of young men who answer Trump is calculated at +/- 6.2 percent. So one can assume that Trump’s support from these now lies somewhere between around 19 and 31 per cent. news wanted to investigate more thoroughly how the picture looks now after the American election. In the recent survey from Norstat, 430 young people between 18 and 29 were asked. The findings show: There is a significant difference in how young women and young men view Trump. Young men are the most Trump-positive group. But there are not as many as half of young men who support Trump. About a quarter point to him. Almost no young women would vote for Trump. – It is difficult to get hold of young men, but in this survey we have targeted this group in order to get sufficient answers, says responsible for political surveys in Norstat, Mads Motrøen. – We see that now it is one in four who support Trump. We are quite sure that this is true, but measurements made before and after the election are not directly comparable. SUPERT: Mikael Kjelling (18) has faith. Photo: Katarina Trymsdatter Vatnvåg 18-year-old Mikael Kjelling is one of the young men who believe in Trump. He believes that relations can improve internationally when Trump gains power. Because he manages to control the other authoritarian leaders in Russia, China and North Korea. – Think about calming them down then. Calm down Putin and Kim Jong-un. Then it will be so good. – How is he going to calm them down then? – He says he will talk to them. I think he’ll make it. He shows that he is above them. Unrest about the effect of the Trump election The survey shows that most Norwegians are skeptical about the consequences of the presidential election. In particular, there is unrest for democracy and women’s rights. Karen Bauge (26), whom news meets in Førde, would vote for Harris. – It is about women’s rights. And this with democracy. I think what Trump is saying is dangerous and has set us back many steps. Consider the storming of Congress. He uses big and dangerous words. Swipe right to see all results. How do you think the election of Donald Trump will affect democratic rights in the world? Positive: 4% No change: 13% Negative: 73% How do you think the election of Donald Trump will affect women’s rights in the world? Positive: 4% No change: 18% Negative: 71% How do you think the election of Donald Trump will affect the world economy? Positive: 11% No change: 14% Negative: 60% How do you think the election of Donald Trump will affect the situation in Ukraine? Positive: 10% No change: 12% Negative: 62% How do you think the election of Donald Trump will affect the NATO alliance? Positive: 6% No change: 19% Negative: 61% How do you think the election of Donald Trump will affect Norway’s security? Positive: 6% No change: 31% Negative: 47% When it comes to international security, there is also skepticism, but there is not as much concern. And “only” 47% believe the election of Trump will negatively affect Norway’s security. – These are generally very negative expectations, says Mads Motrøen in Norstat, about the combined findings in the survey. – But there is an obvious difference when Norwegians consider the consequences for the USA and Norway. Very few see anything positive in this for Norway, while noticeably more believe it could be positive for the USA. – It is also interesting that almost four out of ten believe the election will not have a negative impact on Norway’s security. It must mean that many Norwegians are uneasy about other aspects of Trump’s presidency, since many believe his election will affect Norway negatively, concludes Motrøen in Norstat. Norstat’s Trump poll for news Norstat has asked 1,225 Norwegians after the election in the USA about what they think about the election of Donald Trump. Most young people were asked because news was interested in more solid findings about what young men and young women think about American politics. 430 of those questioned were young people between 18 and 29 years of age. 189 of the young people questioned were men, 241 of the young people were women. Published 22.11.2024, at 07.40
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