According to Danmarks Radio’s election day poll, Mette Frederiksen’s red bloc has 85 mandates, blue bloc 73, and the Moderates 17. The poll done by Megafon for Danish TV2 shows 86 for the reds, 73 for the blues, and 16 for the Moderates. Frederiksen from the Social Democrats holds the post of Prime Minister today, and is seeking re-election. Nevertheless, it may be that Denmark is on the way to a political turnaround. Frederiksen is challenged, on paper, by two candidates from the right: Jakob Ellemann-Jensen in Venstre and Søren Pape Poulsen in the Conservative People’s Party. But then there is also a joker in the middle. Support from the party Moderates, which was started in April this year, will probably be decisive for the party that will form a government, whether it is the reds or the blues that win. Then leader and former prime minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen can demand to become prime minister as part of the negotiations, or reverse the result completely by choosing to support the other. With the 17 mandates in the preliminary election day polls, it seems that he will get the decisive position he wants. “Comeback kid” In this election, one has successively got two main characters: Løkke Rasmussen and Frederiksen. The Prime Minister and her party have been far down in the opinion polls after several major scandals. It was still expected that these would take up more space in the election campaign than they have done, and Frederiksen has gained a lot in popularity since that time. If Frederiksen wins on Wednesday night, she will be the first sitting prime minister to win re-election since 2007. Support from the Moderate party, which was started by Løkke Rasmussen in April this year, will probably be decisive for the party that will form a government in Denmark. Photo: Ritzau Scanpix Emil Helms / NTB Signe Bock Segaard, researcher at the Institute for Social Research and herself Danish, says that much will change in Danish politics anyway, if the opinion polls are somewhat correct. – New parties will come in, and then we will also see that the established, traditional parties may risk being severely weakened, or perhaps even move out of the Folketing. She also points to the fact that Løkke Rasmussen has entered the picture at record speed, and has subsequently “established himself as a possible prime ministerial candidate on the informal level”. Sandvik is the program leader in Norwegian, Swedish and Danish. Photo: Leif Rune Løland / news Nordic connoisseur Hilde Sandvik is surprised by this development. – It is extremely fascinating that this man can be such a “comeback kid”. He was a man and politician who was surrounded by scandals for ten years. – This is a man who has survived the incredible as a politician, and now he manages this feat of becoming a royal consort. Will not point to a specific candidate Party secretary in the Moderates, Anders Schiermer, tells news that they are keeping a cool head until the final result tonight. Anders Schiermer is party secretary in the Moderates. Photo: Marit Kolberg / news The moderators have not yet announced which candidate they will point to. Schiermer would not specify this either. – Nothing has been said about what specific party it is about, but we would like to have a broad collaboration, he says. – We have put forward different options in the election campaign, but there are different problems that Denmark is facing, different reforms. We have to sit down and look at that in the negotiations. Much attention to a few issues Inflation and the Danes’ private economy have both been important themes in the election campaign. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen launched, among other things, a package to raise the pay of certain public servants in the other party, especially on the bourgeois side, argued for tax relief for the individual. Mette Frederiksen in the voting queue on Tuesday. Photo: Johan Nilsson/TT / NTB Another central theme has been the lack of manpower, especially in the Danish healthcare system. Lars Løkke Rasmussen and the Moderates demand reforms in this area. The Social Democrats have pointed to a desire for reforms in the labor market and in schools. We will not know what will be decisive for the election until tonight. The really big question is what happens next. Many experts believe that it may take time before Denmark gets a new government. If neither party is willing to enter into a compromise, none of the blocs will probably be able to form one. The Liberal Alliance is heading towards a by-election among the young. Several of the parties have invested heavily in Facebook campaigns. At the top of the list is the Liberal Alliance party, which seems to have made a popular choice among the young. According to DR, they have spent 2.5 million Danish kroner on leader Alex Vanosplagh and his party’s Facebook profiles. A newspaper describes Vanosplagh as a kind of big brother for young Danish men. According to opinion polls, the party is preferred among Danish voters aged 18 to 34. Søren Pape Poulsen cast his vote earlier today. Photo: BO AMSTRUP / AFP So the investment seems to have worked. When the election was called on 5 October, the Liberal Alliance had a support of 4.1 per cent. During the last four weeks, the number has more than doubled. Now they are likely to get 8.6 percent of the vote. In second and third place with their Facebook budgets are the Social Democrats, which govern today, and the Conservative People’s Party. These spent 1.13 million and 1.09 million Danish kroner respectively on Facebook campaigns.
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