– The first thing I think is that this is far too low and far too bad. Nordland is an Ap county, and has been a bastion. Nordland will now undergo the same process as the rest of Norway. That’s what Narvik mayor Rune Edvardsen (Ap) says when news presents the figures in the new Nordland survey that Norstat has done on behalf of news and Avisa Nordland. The 16.7 per cent turnout is shockingly bad for the Labor Party in Nordland – and now they are behind both the FRP and the Conservative Party. At the same time, Ap loses two out of three mandates, if we use the measurement as a basis. Had this been the election result, it would have been the worst election for Ap in Nordland since the war – by a clear margin. – Absolutely terrible – It is an absolutely terrible measurement for us, says parliamentary representative Bjørnar Skjæran. The survey comes at the same time as several central Labor leaders discuss internally whether Jonas Gahr Støre should continue as prime minister and party leader, according to what news learns. But Skjæran, who is a former deputy leader of Ap, says that the current party leadership should sit. Opinion poll Nordland December 2024 Support compared to the Storting election in 2021.Party SupportChange28.7%FRP+16,517.6%H+2,316.7%AP−12.19.5%SP−11.79 .5%SV+2.35.1%R−0.33.0%V+0.52.6%KRF+0.62.5%MDG+0.22.0%INP+1.61.4 %DEM+0.1Click on the party circle to see the full party name. Based on 1,000 interviews conducted in the period 25.11.24–29.11.24. Margins of error from 1.1–3.8 pp. Source: Norstat Historical results for Ap in Nordland: 2021 – 28.8 2017 – 26.0 2013 – 35.1 2009 – 39.3 2005 – 36.3 2001 – 24.2 1997 – 36.2 1993 – 36.7 1989 – 38.9 1985 – 45.8 1981 – 41.0 1977 – 46.4 1973 – 35.8 1969 – 53.4 1965 – 46.3 1961 – 49.1 1957 – 53.8 1953 – 54.4 1949 – 51.6 1945 – 49.9 – This is a starburst for the Labor Party, says news’s political commentator Tone Sofie Aglen. – It joins the series of local measurements that show how deep the Labor crisis is, and how this results in a voter race in many counties, also in what have been strong Labor bastions. It could be a tough battle for the parliamentary seats in Ap if this does not turn sharply before the election. Political commentator Tone Sofie Aglen on the survey: – This is a starburst for the Labor Party, which lost more than 1/3 of the voters from the last survey. With this result, Bjørnar Skjæran becomes a lonely swallow from the traditionally strong Ap county of Nordland. Last autumn, it seemed that the Labor Party did better than the national trend in Nordland, but that has been blown away. – It joins the series of local measurements that show how deep the Labor crisis is, and how this results in a voter race in many counties, also in what have been strong Labor bastions. – It could be a tough battle for the parliamentary seats in Ap if this does not turn sharply before the election. It is difficult to explain this other than that the party is in a crisis of confidence among the voters. Although the hope for the government is that people will get better advice, voters are not satisfied with how they are running the country. – Paradoxically, this government has bet on the rural areas and Northern Norway with carrots such as cheaper daycare, free ferries, write-downs of student loans and halved flight prices, without getting the slightest payment for it. This suggests that there are completely different issues that are important to voters now, such as taxes, the economy and crime. – FRP is the big winner, and is Nordland’s supremely largest party in this survey. As well as having a lot of confidence when it comes to taxes, crime and immigration, there are many voters who like their criticism of energy policy and the green shift. They take voters in buckets and buckets from Høyre, Sp, Ap and the sofa, in addition to having a voter loyalty on the level of North Korea. – The Conservative Party seems to have stabilized in Nordland, but it is a long way from the landslide election the Conservative Party made in many Nordland municipalities in the local elections. – Can’t live with this For Edvardsen in Narvik, a municipality where the Labor Party is always the largest, the numbers are a sign that something is not right. – Støre’s position is hotly debated during the day. What is your opinion on that matter? – My principle is not to comment on internal matters in the media. – What are you doing wrong? – What I notice is that, regardless of whether we say and do the right things, we hardly get credit for it anyway. I think it’s a difficult situation. Because almost no matter what we do, we will go down in the next opinion poll. There is something fundamental here that we have to address. We cannot live with this. Mandate distribution NordlandsbenchenFremskrittspartietFRP3+2HøyreH2+1ArbeiderpartietAP1−2SenterpartietSP1−1Socialist Liberal PartySV10RødtR00−11000 interviews conducted in the period 25.11.24–29.11.24. Margins of error from 1.1–3.8 pp. Source: Norstat The survey shows that the FRP is by far Nordland’s largest party. If this were the election result, the party would have received three mandates. Today they have one. The Conservative Party receives two mandates, and is barely larger than the Labor Party. Sp and SV get the last mandates from Nordland. Ola Helness Dagfinn Olsen (Frp) – I am not directly surprised when you look at the opinion polls on a national basis, but the fact that it was so high was perhaps a little surprising. – We have signaled solutions to problems to most people. One is the wallet. People want to be left with more. – The second is the green shift and subsidizing the industry. I think people are provoked by that when others don’t get a place in a nursing home. Marius Guttormsen Bent-Joacim Bentzen (Sp) – It is up from the previous poll, and that is nice, but we will continue to fight for cases for Northern Norway. – The Center Party wants to prioritize Nordland’s interests, whether it is the families with children, smaller student loans, free ferries or not increasing taxes on fuel. – Now the FrP and the Conservative Party have presented their alternative budgets this week, where they show that they want something different if they get to govern together. Lars Tore Endresen Bård Ludvig Thorheim (H) – It is motivating to see that we are achieving the goal of both Anita Sollie and I entering the Storting. And that we are bigger than AP. But we will of course work hard to get up to a higher level for the election in September. Kåre Riibe Ramskjell Christian Torset (SV) – These are good numbers for us, and a good basis for the election campaign, but we have to go higher than this. – A big job ahead of us Mona Nilsen is a parliamentary representative and county leader in the Nordland Labor Party. If this poll is successful, she will lose her parliamentary seat in the autumn. As county leader, she has called an emergency meeting about the situation in the party. The meeting takes place this afternoon. – With the current media image and media pressure, it is natural for me to talk to the county party I lead, says Nilsen. Avisa Nordland wrote about the meeting first. Nilsen says the measurement primarily represents a national trend that has also taken hold in Nordland. Mona Nilsen will lose her place in the Storting if this poll is successful. Photo: Malin Nygård Solberg But: – It’s all, far too bad and it shows that people don’t trust us. We have a big job ahead of us to get back to the pulse of the electorate and restore trust. Right now we are in a particularly bad mood. The management and the entire organization must take this job very seriously. In news’s previous survey in September, Ap clocked in at 26.3 per cent. It was relatively good, despite a slight decrease since the last general election. But Nordland is historically a Labor Party bastion. As recently as 2013, the party received almost 4 out of 10 votes in the county. It’s a distant dream now. news is also struggling in the country’s northernmost county. In a poll from November, the party received only 20.4 per cent in Finnmark, and was less than the Progress Party. Published 03.12.2024, at 13.58
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Heavy fall for the Labor Party – news Nordland
