People we talk to on the street have realized that the Oslo election is set to be a thriller. Kjell Sætre encourages young people in particular to exercise their right to vote. Photo: Hallgeir Braastad / news – I would encourage all young people to take the opportunity and use their right to vote, says Kjell Sætre, whom we meet in Greenland. He himself has decided to vote for the party he has voted for most often. Participating in democracy August Ramstad at Bislett is still in doubt. August Ramstad believes it is important to participate in democracy. Photo: Hallgeir Braastad / news – I have read the party programs of the two parties that are between, but I am a little unsure about the core issues. However, he is sure that he will vote. – The fact that it is even only shows that it is even more important to vote. I think you should always participate in democracy if you have the opportunity, says Ramstad. Take news’s election opinion Civic majority If today’s poll had been an election, Eirik Lae Solberg (H) would have thrown Raymond Johansen (Ap) out of the city council leader’s office in the town hall’s east tower. Anne Lindboe would probably take the mayor’s office in the western tower. The Conservative Party, the Progressive Party and the Liberal Party have 30 out of 59 mandates in Oslo City Council according to the Norstat survey. The Christian People’s Party is out of the city council in the poll, but is close to capturing a mandate. In that case, it will be at the expense of the MDGs. Party barometer Oslo August 2023 What will you vote for in the municipal election? Compared to measurement from May 2023.Party Support Change33.8%H−0.816.2%AP+0.512.7%MDG+2.89.5%V+3.08.8%SV−3.76.5%R−0 .66.2%FRP+1.72.1%SP+0.71.9%FP−0.81.1%KRF+0.60.5%INP−1.20.4%DEM−0.80 ,3%Other−1,3Click on the party circle to see the full party name. Based on 599 interviews conducted in the period 14.8.23–18.8.23. Margins of error from 0.5–4.6 pp. Source: Norstat – Too bad The Conservative Party is admittedly going back a little compared to the May poll, but is still more than twice as big as arch-rival the Labor Party. Ap advances by half a percentage point and gets 16.2 percent support. – It is too bad, says city council leader Raymond Johansen (Ap). Approaching the 10s After several recent measurements have shown that the peak of form may have been reached for the Conservative Party, Eirik Lae Solberg is smugly above 33.8 per cent. – First of all, this is a very pleasant poll for the Conservative Party. We maintain a high level, and we see that the other bourgeois parties Venstre and the Progressive Party are making marked progress, he says. Lae Solberg’s closest allies in Oslo City Hall have even more reason to grin. Venstre approaches the 10s and sails into the town hall with a group of six. – For us in Venstre, this is a brilliant figure. A liberal wind is blowing over Oslo now, says the party’s group leader and list leader Hallstein Bjercke. Mandate distribution Oslo August 2023 Representatives in the municipal council if the poll was an election. Compared to the election result 2019.HøyreH20+5ArbeiderpartietAP10−2Environmental Party De GrønneMDG8−1VenstreV6+2Socialist Liberal PartySV5−1RødtR40FremskrittspartietFRP4+1SenterpartietSP10People’s partyFP1−3Christian People’s PartyKRF00−1599 interviews conducted in the period 14.8.23–18.8.23. Margins of error from 1–4.6 pp. Source: Norstat Venstre’s dream city council But on one point the two disagree, namely what would be the best city council for Oslo. – We only have one plan, and that is a bourgeois majority with the Conservative Party, Liberal Party, KrF and the Progressive Party, says Eirik Lae Solberg. – In that case, who will sit on the city council? – It is far too early to say, but the Conservative Party wants the broadest possible civic council. Hallstein Bjercke and Venstre will keep wing parties out of power, but may become dependent on the Progress Party. Photo: Tom Balgaard/news Hallstein Bjercke, for his part, is not letting go of the Venstre’s dream city council. – We have said that the best Oslo city council can get is a blue-green city council with Conservatives and Liberals. – We have also extended a hand to the MDGs. Then Oslo will be able to have a majority city council, and we won’t have to take into account the far right or far left, which give bad solutions, he says. Out of the question for the Conservative Party Out of the question for the Conservative Party, asserts Eirik Lae Solberg. – MDG has positioned itself clearly on the left in Oslo politics. They are in favor of higher property taxes, they are against free school choice, and they are opposed to private players who can assist in elderly care, he says. Bright spot for Frp What about the Progress Party? Oslo Frp is miles away from the support from its glory days. Magnus Birkelund and the FRP can be happy about some progress. Photo: Rolf Petter Olaisen But 6.2 per cent is better than the last election for a party that has been characterized by factionalism, exclusions and chaos during the period. – It is gratifying to see that all the hard work that the entire Oslo FRP does in the fight for more freedom in everyday life is yielding results, says the party’s new leader Magnus Birkelund. – Three weeks on us On the red-green side, the boss himself is painfully aware that the Labor Party’s well-known election campaign machinery has a job to do. – We have three weeks. It is now that it has been discovered that there is a municipal election, Neither Jonas Gahr Støre nor Erna Solberg are standing for election, says Raymond Johansen. Raymond Johansen believes that Oslo faces an important choice. Photo: Terje Pedersen / NTB The city council leader says that they are going out and telling the voters that there is a lot at stake. – It stands between those who are in favor of tax cuts. And we who are in favor of continued welfare, not least in care for the elderly. Year’s best for MDG Among Ap’s city councillors, SV is falling behind the most of all parties in the survey. The Green Party mostly advances together with the Liberals. – This is the year’s best measurement for the MDGs, says list top Sirin Stav about 12.7 per cent. – I think people realize that we are the guarantor of a social, green and redistributive environmental policy, she says. Sirin Stav and MDG gain support in the middle between the 2015 result and the snap election in 2019. Photo: Bård Nafstad / news She also uses the opportunity to once again reject the Left’s blue-green dream council. – But we are happy to talk to the Liberals and invite them over to our green branch rather than them forming an alliance with exhaust gray parties on the outer wing. – I really hope that they do not prefer the FRP to cooperation with MDG, Labor and SV, says Sirin Stav. SV fall SV has soared high in the Oslo polls, but falls in this one to 8.8 per cent. With the marked progress of the declared environmental parties Venstre and MDG, it is natural to ask whether the green voters are failing SV. Top of the list and leader of Oslo SV, Sunniva Holmås Eidsvoll, says this: – SV is the party for you if you want to cut both differences and emissions, while keeping the Conservative Party out of power. – Now we have had several very good measurements and then this one which is less good. The truth probably lies somewhere in between, says Sunniva Holmås Eidsvoll. People’s Party The greatest uncertainty is related to the People’s Party’s one mandate. Here is the explanation: People’s Party and “weighting” Norstat weights the results in the survey towards the local elections in 2019, where the People’s Party (then FNB) had a good result. When Norstat calls around now, few say they voted for FNB in the last local election. Since the party is underrepresented among the respondents, the answers from these voters are weighted somewhat in the survey. Because of this booklet, the result of the FP is somewhat more uncertain than the results of the other parties.
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Civic majority in new poll for Oslo – news Oslo og Viken – Local news, TV and radio
