Bitcoin Bulls Face Resistance Challenge

Bitcoin BTC$103,309.52 bulls face a $120 million resistance challenge as they look to extend the classic “stair-step” uptrend, as highlighted by recent order book data.

Since April 9, Bitcoin has surged about 38%, moving from around $75,000 to $104,000 as trade tensions have eased and major market participants deployed capital.

This rally can be classified as a classic stair-step pattern: Initial bullish impulses are frequently followed by periods of consolidation, creating the groundwork for the subsequent upward move.

For instance, the initial rise from $75,000 met with range-bound trading between $83,000 and $85,000. The subsequent increase faced consolidation between $92,000 and $96,000.

BTC's stair-step uptrend. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Additionally, since May 10, prices have oscillated mainly between $101,000 and $105,000, indicating a consolidation phase following the advance into six-figure territory.

To advance to the next phase of gains, bulls must overcome a significant wall of selling pressure around $105,000. This represents a substantial hurdle for traders aiming to take advantage of the bullish momentum.

According to data sourced from Kiyotaka.ai, there are open sell orders worth nearly $50 million at $104,800, in addition to around $70 million at $105,000.

Kiyotaka.ai tracks the dynamics of the order book heat map by aggregating data from spot trading on platforms like Binance, Bitstamp, Bybt, Coinbase, and OKX, along with perpetual futures trading on Binance, Bybit, and OKX.

Many of the open orders at higher price levels are classified as limit sell orders. These orders set the minimum price that sellers are willing to accept. Consequently, when the spot price reaches this level, the order may be executed, enabling the seller to sell at or above that price point.

BTC global order book heatmap. (Kiyotaka)
BTC global order book heatmap. (Kiyotaka)

The chart illustrates that the global aggregated order book is relatively stacked at higher price levels, indicating potential profit-taking as prices approach all-time highs.

Macro indicators and technical momentum show that the path of least resistance is on the upside, implying that, sooner or later, bulls will absorb the selling pressure, ultimately pushing valuations towards record highs.

In simpler terms, these sell walls are unlikely to remain indefinitely, suggesting that the bullish trend may soon reassert itself.

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