The Conservative Party was the largest party in the 1924 election, but since then Ap has always been the largest – until this year. This is shown by news’s own forecast for the election. The forecast suggests that the Conservative Party has lost something in the run-up to the election campaign, but there is uncertainty about exactly how much the Conservative Party may have fallen. Support throughout the country The Conservative Party receives support from 24.2 per cent of voters, according to news’s forecast. This is an improvement of just over 4 percentage points compared to 2019. This year, the Labor Party will receive support from 21.3 per cent of voters, according to the forecast. The party thus falls 3.5 percentage points from the election four years ago. The country’s third largest party is the Progress Party with 11.4 per cent support from voters. This is an increase of 3.2 percentage points. The center party gets a support of 9.7 percent of the voters. It is a sharp decline from 2019, but then the party had its best municipal election ever with 14.4 percent support. SV receives support from 7 percent of the voters, a slight improvement compared to 2019. While Venstre, with 4.8 percent support, clears the barrier by a good margin, news’s forecast shows that both Rødt, MDG and KrF are guarding the barrier. With 3.9 per cent, both MDG and KrF are just below, as in the general election two years ago. So does Red, which receives support from 3.8 percent of voters. The barrier limit means nothing in isolation in a municipal election, but is very decisive in parliamentary elections. The next general election is in two years. Despite a sharp decline, Ap was also the largest party in the municipal and county council elections four years ago. The party then received support from 24.8 percent of voters. 20.1 per cent voted for the Conservative Party in 2019. Today’s election is a municipal and county council election. This means that in the days and perhaps weeks after the election, there will be negotiations about who will get mayoral power and the most powerful positions in the country’s 356 municipalities. No less than 27.8 per cent of those with the right to vote in Norway have voted in advance this year. It is a new record.
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