On the night of Thursday, a completely out of the ordinary Republican election campaign is officially underway. In Milwaukee, Wisconsin, where the Republicans will nominate their presidential candidate for next year, seven men and one woman who have qualified for the party’s first televised debate will meet. See further down in the article who the eight are. But most of it is about the ninth candidate. He has declined the invitation. A majority of Republicans still want Trump to become the presidential candidate even though he has four indictments with a sentence of several decades in prison hanging over him. These eight will take part in the Republican Party’s first televised debate leading up to the 2024 election. Photo: AP The former president now leads by more than 20 percentage points in most opinion polls. Trump has made himself a martyr. He does not participate in the debate, but a few hours later he will appear in a prison in Georgia to be arrested, and then released on NOK 2 million bail. Why is the debate still important? The televised debate is a starting point for the internal battle to become the Republican presidential candidate. The first votes are held in the New Year and many of the candidates are unknown to a national audience. Although Trump is leading in the polls, it is almost a year before the party formally nominates a presidential candidate. The televised debates are a national stage where the candidates who want to challenge Trump have the opportunity to reach a wider audience. The televised debate is the starting point for the Republicans’ election campaign. Here in Milwaukee, the party is also holding its national meeting next summer. Photo: Anders Tvegård / news This is the Republicans’ opportunity to break through and show the voters that there are alternatives to Trump. Yet it is difficult for them to criticize him when the grassroots still give him such strong support. At the same time, we remember Trump’s interruptions and harassment of the opposing candidates in the 2016 election campaign. Without Trump, this year’s Republican debates will perhaps become the real exchanges that a functioning democracy depends on. There are a number of requirements that must be met to get a place in the debate. You must both have a certain level of support in the opinion polls and a certain number of donors. The Milwaukee police are responsible for the security around the debate room. Photo: JIM BOURG / Reuters That means some may drop out while others may qualify for the next round, which will be held at the Reagan Center in California at the end of September. These are the debate requirements In order to get a place in the debate, the Republican candidates must fulfill the following requirements: have collected money from 40,000 people and received one percent support in given polls. the money must come from at least 200 people from 20 different states. the candidates must sign that they will support whoever the party ultimately nominates as presidential candidate. What should you keep an eye on? Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has been seen as Trump’s main challenger, but his campaign has been marred by chaos and crises since its inception. Nor have the donors been as enthusiastic lately. DeSantis needs to show that he is ready for a national audience and that he is charismatic enough for the party’s voters to breathe new life into his campaign. Many will also follow how 38-year-old Vivek Ramaswamy does in the debate. Leaks from several political camps suggest that the youngest candidate’s growing popularity is seen as a major challenge. It could be that other candidates are trying to puncture Vivek’s campaign. Trump’s supporters are clearly visible in Milwaukee. Here some of them walk in front of Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign bus. Photo: AFP Former Vice President Mike Pence has distanced himself from Trump’s actions when Congress was stormed, but it has not given him a jump in the polls. Pence’s life was in danger when Trump supporters tried to stop the meeting in Congress that approved the election results in 2021. A meeting Pence presided over. In the Trump camp, Pence is seen as a traitor because he did not want to be part of stealing the election. Will viewers get a different view of Pence now? Few of the candidates have criticized the former president. Rather, they have backed the rhetoric that the criminal prosecution of Trump is politically motivated. Do they dare go after Trump’s eligibility now that he is probably not on the same stage? Governor Ron DeSantisDeSantis (44) has delivered several Republican victories in his home state of Florida. Not least, the team has gone to war against woke ideology in the school system and introduced an immigration law in the spirit of Trump. He sells himself as a more effective leader than Trump, but is careful not to push the Trump base away. Mike Pence The former vice president (64) can appeal to the wing that does not want Trump. He would not change the election outcome in 2020 and is poorly liked among Trump’s supporters. Pence is a Christian conservative politician who claims he is the party’s most anti-abortion candidate. Vivek Ramaswamy Billionaire Ramaswamy (38) is seen as a young version of Trump. He is a biotech entrepreneur and the youngest in the race. He believes he can revive the American dream and steer away from political correctness. He is critical of all American aid to Ukraine and has promised to pardon the former president. Chris Christie Christie (60) has been governor and a close ally of President Trump. Now he is one of the clearest Trump critics in the party. Perhaps he is the one who dares to go for the throat of his former boss tonight.Tim ScottSenator Scott (57) is known for collecting a lot of money for the party. He talks about uniting the country at the same time as securing the borders and lowering inflation. Scott comes from South Carolina, and is the only African American candidate. Nikki Haley Former governor Haley (51) was the first to sign up in the fight against Trump. She is currently the only woman in the nomination battle who is allowed to participate in the TV debate. Haley promises to act more aggressively against China. Doug Burgum The governor of North Dakota (67) has self-financed much of the election campaign. Seen as a conservative technocrat and not particularly well known outside the state. Asa HutchinsonHutchinson (72) was until recently governor of Arkansas. He belongs to the more established and moderate wing of the party, and believes Trump must resign due to ongoing investigations. Donald Trump (77) has written in his message service that he will not participate in the debates. That could change, but he’s definitely not going to show up in Milwaukee. The Republican Party requires those who take part in the debates to sign that they will support the candidate the party nominates in the end. Trump has not wanted to do that. What is at stake? The question many are seeking an answer to is whether the Republican Party is able to stand behind an alternative to Trump. The more people who compete, the better chance Trump has of winning. Republican strategists point out that Trump is vulnerable. He has several court cases pending and does not get to spend as much time out among the voters. At the same time, he uses the martyr status he has among many followers for all it is worth. President Joe Biden was in Hawaii this week to look at the devastation. Republicans believe he has reacted too late to the disaster. Photo: Reuters Trump’s approval rating among Republican Party members, who are usually the ones who vote in nomination elections, has not fallen since the indictments began to pour in. But the party needs independent voters to vote in the presidential election itself. It is not a given that this group of voters will support a president accused of serious crimes. At the same time, President Joe Biden is also in more trouble than before because his son, Hunter, is being investigated by the Department of Justice for tax evasion. The case is seen as less serious than the indictments against Trump, but it is unlikely to increase confidence in Biden, who is already struggling with his popularity.
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