Without immigrant workers, the French economy vacillates. This observation is known. But in a political moment when the fight against the ” migratory disorder »Close to the priorities of the Minister of the Interior, Bruno Retailleau, he rarely finds his place in the public debate. However, to maintain the sustainability of its social and economic model, France will have to accommodate between 250,000 and 310,000 additional foreigners per year by 2040-2050. This is what emerges from a report entitled “The immigrant workers with or without them?” Published by the Terra Nova reflection center, Monday, May 12.
The estimate is between the average level of legal immigration from the 2010s (245,000 admissions per year) and that of 2022 (331,000 first titles issued). No significant increase, therefore, but simply continuity in the use of immigration, which “Will be decisive in the years and decades that come if we want to maintain the support ratio between assets and inactive at a reasonable level”write the essayist Hakim El Karoui and the economist Juba Ihaddaden, adding that “Without immigrant workers, an essential part of our economy stops”. This necessity is to be read in a particular demographic context: the French population is aging, the birth rate decreases. At the same time, essential services requirements and many sectors are struggling to recruit.
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