Few things are as poll-driven as a party leader’s support. And nowhere is that link as tightly connected as in the Labor Party. Every time there has been a real dip in the polls, talk of Støre being the right man to lead the party has been piped up. And there have been many bad measurements in recent years. Ergo, there has been a lot of bad atmosphere and “cheers with Støre – dissatisfaction” in the party. The bells are ringing for Jonas Gahr Støre, has been a picture I have used in comments before. It is about the fact that the Labor leader’s fate has been discussed many times. There has been no shortage of people who think Støre should be thanked. But as a rule, this has been expressed in dark circles, or by people who are far from a position of power in Ap. The last time it seriously came up was the winter of 2021. Then Ap was doing so poorly in the polls that there was talk of a coup to oust Støre. According to the book Partiet, a story that several media have confirmed, Oslo’s city council leader Raymond Johansen was the coup maker. County leader Ingvild Kjerkol in Trøndelag Ap is among those who at the time should have supported the coup plans, which were averted. There are several reasons why something seems to be different this time. Talked more openly First of all, there is much more open talk about the fact that Støre is not the right man to lead the party. It really dawned on many during LO’s fabled cartel conference at Sundvolden in November. There you didn’t have to seek out the nachspiel or be a journalist to pick up the rumours. You almost had to be deaf not to catch the talk that Støre should resign before the election. What had previously been talked about as more hidden, was suddenly much more open during the day. More organized Second, the dissatisfaction seems more organized. This is something that is being talked about among a number of county leaders. Now it is not new that Støre has varying support in different counties, but as far as we are aware, it has not been talked about in the same concrete way before. What is there to lose? Thirdly, the impression is that the party does not have much more to lose. In the past, the tone of the review has been that you cannot change party leader before the election. Now the melody is that the measurements are going so badly that it can’t get much worse anyway. The measurements The decline in the measurements this autumn has been decisive. Before the summer, there was some optimism that things were going a little better, and the party hit the 20s. It came after the party had replaced many ministers, changed its rhetoric, got a new strategy and, not least, adjusted its political course towards a turn to the right. It was a new course for the party many believed in. When the party falls further in the polls, and receives a new bottom poll with TV 2 of 16.5 percent on Monday evening, it is interpreted as that everything has been tried and nothing helps. Perhaps apart from changing party leader. Internal enemies In addition, Støre has acquired a number of internal enemies in recent years. He has sacked several ministers who obviously feel unfairly treated. The “discontent bench at the Storting” has become a term. These are powerful county leaders, and others who stand strong in their part of the party, and who are not as bound by loyalty to the party leader. Støre has also appointed several new ministers who do not have the same power base in the party. This could mean that Støre has fewer people standing up for him when it really matters. Heirs In addition, there is one very important thing that has changed since previous discussions about Støre’s management. Then there was a lack of obvious heirs. When there has been no one to take over, it has seemed unconstructive to discuss the party leader you have after all. Now the vast majority point to deputy leader Tonje Brenna as the person best suited to lead the party going forward. Both LO and many county teams must agree on that. Although opinions are divided, many believe she is ready for the task. And for a new party leader, it can be an advantage to start from scratch. Just ask Sylvi Listhaug. Psychology Finally, there is psychology. Many people probably had a lot to think about when, to everyone’s surprise, Joe Biden withdrew as a presidential candidate this summer. And how quickly the Democratic Party regained its enthusiasm. Now it did not end so well for the Democrats in the election. But it inspired many how quickly things can go when the snowball first starts rolling. Although this riot could also be a premature snowball in December that melts away before the day is over. Published 02.12.2024, at 19.32
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Støre-discontent is old news in the party, but something is different now – Ytring
